
AT&T currently trades at $24.69 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a small loss of 3.1%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 11.5% gain during that period.
Is now the time to buy AT&T, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Do We Think AT&T Will Underperform?
We're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons you should be careful with T and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Revenue Spiraling Downwards
Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. AT&T struggled to consistently generate demand over the last five years as its sales dropped at a 1.3% annual rate. This wasn’t a great result and signals it’s a low quality business.

2. EPS Trending Down
We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.
Sadly for AT&T, its EPS declined by 7.5% annually over the last five years, more than its revenue. This tells us the company struggled because its fixed cost base made it difficult to adjust to shrinking demand.

3. Free Cash Flow Projections Disappoint
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
Over the next year, analysts’ consensus estimates show they’re expecting AT&T’s free cash flow margin of 13.7% for the last 12 months to remain the same.
Final Judgment
We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of AT&T, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 10.5× forward P/E (or $24.69 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. There are better investments elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at the most entrenched endpoint security platform on the market.
Stocks We Would Buy Instead of AT&T
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