form425.htm
Filed
by
Kraft Foods Inc.
Pursuant
to Rule 425 under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended
and
deemed as filed pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under
the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended
Subject
Company: Kraft Foods Inc.
Commission
File Number: 001-16483
Forward-Looking
Statements
This document
contains forward-looking statements that Kraft intends to merge its
Post cereals business into Ralcorp Holdings, Inc.; that the transaction
is tax-efficient and our belief about the worth to Kraft and
shareholders; that this is a transaction where everyone wins; that Kraft
shareholders will benefit from the future value created by combining the
Post brands with Ralcorp; that this is another step in the
transformation plan to restore Kraft to reliable growth; that the transaction
has several benefits to Kraft and our shareholders; the number of employees
that
will join Ralcorp; when and how shares will be distributed; that prior to
closing, we will decide whether the shares will be distributed in a spin-off
or
a split-off; our expectation regarding completion of the transaction; the
effect
on diluted earnings per share; the impact on future earnings from the
transaction; that
Kraft believes the proposed transaction is a win for Kraft, Ralcorp, for
Post, and for its shareholders; that this is an exciting growth
opportunity and transforming event for Ralcorp; that this represents a real
opportunity for growth across Ralcorp’s entire portfolio; that
Ralcorp’s Post-branded cereal business will be managed as a separate
division from the existing private-label cereal business; that Post
will benefit from the added focus Ralcorp will bring; that the proposed
transaction will allow Ralcorp to continue its growth strategy in a new branded
platform as well as in our existing private-label and frozen bakery
platforms; that Ralcorp will continue making strategic acquisitions
and opportunistic share repurchases and that Post would have greater
opportunity to realize its full potential under Ralcorp’s
ownership. Any
statements that express, or involve discussions as to expectations, beliefs,
plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but
not
always, through the use of words or phrases such as will likely result, are
expected to, will continue, is anticipated, believe, could, estimated, may,
plan, potential, projection, target, outlook) are not statements of historical
facts and may be forward-looking. These forward-looking statements
involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those predicted in the forward-looking statements. Such factors,
include, but are not limited to pricing actions, delays in consummating the
transaction, failure to obtain Ralcorp shareholder approval, regulatory actions
or delays related to the particular brands included in the transaction, receipt
of an IRS ruling approving the tax-free status of the transaction, failure
to
recognize expected cost savings from our restructuring program and increased
competition. For additional information on these and other factors
that could affect our forward-looking statements, see our filings with the
SEC,
including Kraft's most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K and
subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and 8-K. For additional information on
these and other factors that could affect Ralcorp’s forward-looking
statements, see its filings with the SEC, including its most recently filed
Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and 8-K. Each
of
Ralcorp and Kraft disclaim and do not undertake any obligation to update or
revise any forward-looking statements in this document.
Additional
Information
In
connection with the proposed transaction between Ralcorp Holdings Inc. and
Kraft, Ralcorp will file a registration statement on Form S-4 with the
SEC. Such registration statement will include a proxy statement of
Ralcorp that also constitutes a prospectus of Ralcorp, and will be sent to
the
shareholders of Ralcorp. Shareholders are urged to read the proxy
statement/prospectus and any other relevant documents when they become
available, because they will contain important information about Kraft, Ralcorp
and the proposed transaction. The proxy statement/prospectus and
other documents relating to the proposed transaction (when they are available)
can be obtained free of charge from the SEC’s website at
www.sec.gov. These documents (when they are available) can
also be obtained free of charge from Kraft upon written request to Kraft Foods
Inc., Three Lakes Drive, Northfield, Illinois 60093, or by calling (847)
646-5494, or from Ralcorp, upon written request to Ralcorp Holdings, Inc.,
800
Market Street, Suite 2900, Saint Louis, Missouri 63101, or by calling (314)
877-7113.
Participants
in the Proposed Transaction
This
communication is not a solicitation of a proxy from any security holder of
Ralcorp. However, Kraft, Ralcorp and certain of their respective
directors and executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the
solicitation of proxies from shareholders in connection with the proposed
transaction under the rules of the SEC. Information about the
directors and executive officers of Kraft may be found in its 2006 Annual
Report
on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 1, 2007, definitive proxy statement
relating to its 2007 Annual Meeting of Shareholders filed with the SEC on
March
13, 2007 and current report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on November 7,
2007. Information about the directors and executive officers of
Ralcorp may be found in its 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the
SEC
on December 13, 2006, definitive proxy statement relating to its 2006 Annual
Meeting of Shareholders filed with the SEC on December 13, 2006 and current
report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on October 2, 2007. These
documents can be obtained free of charge from the sources indicated above.
Additional information regarding the interests of these participants will
also
be included in the proxy statement/prospectus regarding the proposed transaction
when it becomes available.
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Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
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Conference
Call Transcript
KFT
- Post Cereals to Merge With Ralcorp
Event
Date/Time: Nov. 15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET
|
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FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
CORPORATE
PARTICIPANTS
Scott
Monette
Ralcorp
- VP & Treasurer
Dave
Skarie
Ralcorp
- Co-CEO & President
Kevin
Hunt
Ralcorp
- Co-CEO & President
Chris
Baldwin
Kraft
Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Chris
Jakubik
Kraft
Foods - VP of IR
CONFERENCE
CALL PARTICIPANTS
Jonathan
Feeney
Wachovia
Securities - Analyst
Terry
Bivens
Bear
Stearns - Analyst
Eric
Katzman
Deutsche
Bank - Analyst
Andrew
Lazar
Lehman
Brothers - Analyst
Heather
Jones
BB&T
Capital Markets - Analyst
Robert
Moskow
Credit
Suisse - Analyst
Vincent
Andrews
Morgan
Stanley - Analyst
John
Patrick Walsh
Wachovia
- Analyst
Ken
Zaslow
BMO
Capital Markets - Analyst
Pablo
Zuanic
JPMorgan
- Analyst
Eric
Serotta
Merrill
Lynch - Analyst
Michael
Schwartz
Redwood
Partners - Analyst
PRESENTATION
Operator
Good
morning, and welcome to this Ralcorp and Kraft Foods conference call. (OPERATOR
INSTRUCTIONS) I will now turn the call over to Mr. Scott Monette, Vice President
and Treasurer of Ralcorp. Please go ahead, sir.
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FINAL
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Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP & Treasurer
Good
morning, everyone. This is Scott Monette, Ralcorp's Corporate Vice President
and
Treasurer. I'm pleased to welcome you to this conference call and discuss
with
you a very exciting growth opportunity for Ralcorp. Joining me today is Dave
Skarie, Ralcorp's co-CEO and our Company's lead executive for the transaction;
Kevin Hunt, co-CEO, will also provide his views of today's
event.
Additionally
with us is Chris Baldwin, Kraft Group's Vice President for this U.S. snacks
and
cereals business, will describe the benefits from the deal from Kraft's
perspective. After each has made a few opening remarks, they will be available
to take your questions. Additionally we have Kraft's Vice President of Investor
Relations, Chris Jakubik, with us.
Before
turning the call over to Dave, Kevin, and Chris, I need to tell you Ralcorp
intends to file a proxy statement and prospectus and other relevant materials
in
connection with the proposed merger transaction with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Investors and security holders are urged to read this filing when
it
becomes available, because it contains important information regarding this
proposed transaction. Investors and security holders may obtain free copies
of
these documents and other documents filed with the SEC when they become
available at the SEC's website, www.SEC.gov.
In
addition, investors and security holders may obtain free copies of the documents
filed with the SEC at Ralcorp's website, www.ralcorp.com or free of charge
by
requesting them in writing from Ralcorp, P.O. Box 618, St. Louis, Missouri,
63188-0618; attention Company Secretary, or by telephone at
314-877-7046.
These
remarks contain forward-looking statements as that term is defined in the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve
risk
and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from
those
projected in the forward-looking statements. Ralcorp undertakes no obligation
to
publicly update any forward-looking statement whether as a result of new
information, future events, or otherwise.
Forward-looking
statements in these remarks should be evaluated together with the many
uncertainties that affect Ralcorp's business, particularly those mentioned
in
the cautionary statements and Ralcorp's quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended June 30, 2007 and its periodic reports on Form 8-K, which the
Company incorporates by reference.
This
call
is also available via webcast by going to www.ralcorp.com. We have also posted
an investor presentation on our website, www.ralcorp.com. Our first speaker
is
Dave Skarie from Ralcorp.
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Good
morning. Today we have the pleasure of announcing an agreement between Ralcorp
and Kraft. The transaction has excellent benefits for both companies. Chris
in a
few moments will describe what they are for Kraft.
This
is a
transforming event for Ralcorp, adding Post Cereals gives Ralcorp a truly
distinctive line of branded cereal products, plus a branded infrastructure
and
platform that we can build on through organic growth and acquisitions. Let
me be
very specific about the benefits to Ralcorp.
Merging
with the Post business, we will create a larger, stronger business with a
portfolio of businesses balanced between branded, private-label, and frozen
bakery products; increase Ralcorp's sales base by 50% to $3.3 billion a year
from $2.2 billion; increase food EBITDA margins by at least 500 basis points;
be
accretive to earnings per share between $0.44 and $0.68 for a pro forma of
fiscal 2008 before one time costs associated with the transaction; and generate
significant incremental free cash flow to fund investments, acquisitions, and
share repurchases.
The
merger of Post with Ralcorp is a great fit. We have more than 100 years of
experience in cereals and know this category well. Our private-label and frozen
bakery businesses will be paired with a complimentary business of branded
cereals, bringing Ralcorp unprecedented opportunities for our investors, our
customers, and our employees.
The
mechanics of the deal call for Kraft to distribute its Post Cereal business
to
us -- to its shareholders. The new company will then be merged immediately
into
a subsidiary of Ralcorp. This will be an all-stock transaction and will be
tax-free to shareholders of both companies.
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FINAL
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Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
As
part
of a transaction, Ralcorp will issue and assume approximately $950 million
of
debt. Current Ralcorp shareholders will own approximately 46% and current Kraft
shareholders will own approximately 54% of the combined company.
It
is
also important to note how Ralcorp will bring the Post team into our company
and
how we will protect him grow valuable existing relationships. Ralcorp's
Post-branded cereal business will be managed as a separate division from the
existing private-label cereal business. We believe Post will benefit from the
added focus Ralcorp will bring.
Post's
existing marketing and sales support team will continue to be headquartered
in
northern New Jersey and Post's existing R&D team will continue to be located
in Battle Creek, Michigan. We plan to build a nationwide sales management and
broker network devoted to the Post brands. In addition, the combination of
Post
and Ralcorp's operations, purchasing and logistics networks will ensure a smooth
transition and efficiencies in the long term. Kraft will also provide transition
services for up to 18 months after closing.
Now
I
would like to ask Kevin Hunt, co-CEO and President of Ralcorp, to talk a bit
about some other benefits.
Kevin
Hunt - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Thanks,
Dave. This acquisition is indeed a watershed event for Ralcorp. Dave and I
are
very, very excited about this very unique opportunity and we are confident
that
Ralcorp has the resources to capitalize on it.
We
have
an established track record of growing platforms in the food business through
acquisition and integration of other food companies. This merger will allow
us
to continue that growth strategy in a new branded platform as well as in our
existing private-label and frozen bakery platforms.
Because
of the all-stock tax-free nature of the transaction, the new company will have
a
strong balance sheet and we fully intend to continue making strategic
acquisitions and opportunistic share repurchases.
Now
I
would like to turn it over to Chris Baldwin.
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Thank
you
and good morning. First I'd like to say that my comments today will only
cover
Kraft's perspective on this specific transaction. During this call, we will
make
forward-looking statements regarding Kraft's business. These statements are
based on how we see things today, so they contain an element of uncertainty.
Actual results may differ materially due to risk and uncertainties. Please
refer
to the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in Kraft's 10-K and
10-Q
filings for a more detailed explanation of the inherent limitations in such
forward-looking statements.
Now
with
that out of the way, we are excited about the value that will be created for
shareholders by merging the Post Cereals business with Ralcorp.
Let
me
start by helping you understand how we, Kraft, got here today. Many of you
are
familiar with the transformation plan that our Chairman and CEO, Irene
Rosenfeld, introduced in February. This plan is predicated on strong organic
growth and a strong belief in the power of Kraft's portfolio. However as Irene
said at the time, this was not meant to be a safe harbor for all of our brands.
Some of our brands may be a better fit for other companies.
To
determine long-term fit with our portfolio, we have assessed each of our
businesses by category and by country based on their growth potential, relative
market share, and profitability. From that process, we decided that Post would
have greater opportunity to realize its full potential under different
ownership. The business is in good shape today, but it can do even better with
a
company like Ralcorp.
As
you
know, Post has been at America's breakfast table for more than 100 years with
iconic cereals such as Raisin Bran, Grape Nuts, and Shredded Wheat and the
business continues to improve. Our adult cereal business continues to strengthen
behind Honey Bunches of Oats, now the number three brand in the cereal category.
This brand has actually grown for 18 years in a row.
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Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
We
have
reformulated some of our offerings to fit our better-for-you sensible solution
criteria and are once again advertising these great cereals. The results are
promising. For example, our Pebbles business has grown by almost 10%
year-to-date. And lastly, our overall cereal market share trends continue to
improve.
Given
the
strength of the business, Ralcorp's interest in Post makes perfect sense. They
too have a strong cereal heritage and existing infrastructure and are
well-suited to dedicate more resource to this business than would have been
possible at Kraft. By joining Ralcorp, Post will have even greater opportunity
for consistent future growth.
Kraft
shareholders will continue to have a vested interest in the ongoing success
of
the Post business and the value for our shareholders will be optimized through
the tax efficient structure of this transaction. Importantly, our recent spin
off from Altria gave us the flexibility we needed to execute this kind of tax
efficient transaction.
In
summary, we believe this transaction is a win for Kraft, for Ralcorp, for Post,
and for our shareholders. We look forward to working with Ralcorp to facilitate
a smooth transition of the Post business.
Now
I
will turn the call back to Scott.
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP & Treasurer
Thank
you, Chris, Dave, and Kevin. With those comments as background, we would
be
happy to entertain your questions now.
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FINAL
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Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
QUESTION
AND ANSWER
Operator
(OPERATOR
INSTRUCTIONS) Jonathan Feeney, Wachovia Securities.
Jonathan
Feeney - Wachovia Securities - Analyst
Good
morning and congratulations. I guess my first question would be for Dave
and
Kevin about the strategic fit between a branded company and historically
store-branded focus. As I -- it was a little before my time, but I do recall
some discussion you were reasonably happy to get out of the branded business
with the sale of Chex in the early '90s and I know --. Could you talk about
maybe your long-term plans around further forays into the branded world and
how
on a day-to-day basis, who was going to be managing the Post Cereal business
in
terms of its brand contacts?
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Okay,
this is Dave. Let me see if I can kind of crystallize some of your thoughts
here. Number one is the business will have its own division president and
it
will be focused on the Post business and we will set that up so that they
can
focus on building what we believe will be the key part of this transaction,
obviously which is the post cereal. It does give us opportunities. We have
always talked about platforms in the acquisition side. The Post transaction
gives us the scale to now look at the potential of branded acquisitions along
with our other acquisition looks, which could go into any one of these platforms
now, which is private-label and/or frozen bakery.
So
that's
one of the things we're really excited about is that before, as you mentioned,
the Chex business, it was not big enough to build off of. This one is a $1
billion brand, is big enough to do that and coming with the infrastructure
that
we get with this deal, we can build off of that as we look at other
potentials.
Jonathan
Feeney - Wachovia Securities - Analyst
Thanks,
and I guess is one follow-up. It seems to me that in terms of the guidance
you've put out there, this pro forma '08 guidance, there are some costs synergy
assumptions in there. Is that accurate? And I guess how aggressive would
you
view those costs synergy assumptions as part of that I guess it is $0.44
to
$0.68 for fiscal '08?
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
I
think
that the answer to that is that obviously we're going to have to build a
sales
organization. We get a very fine sales support organization with this. This
is
really not a synergy play. The real opportunity for us is to build off of
what
we are buying, and so as we get closer to being able to manage the business,
which as you can tell by the announcement will be some period of time, we
will
look at what those efficiencies are. And obviously one of those is probably
going to be in the purchasing side as we become even a more important purchaser
to our suppliers.
Jonathan
Feeney - Wachovia Securities - Analyst
Oh,
just
on that front, you made a comment in the press release that Kraft will provide
transition services. Maybe this is a question for Chris, but I know you need
to
build up -- how is that -- exactly what do those transition services entail?
Is
there going to be some period of time where Kraft is selling these products
even
after -- the Kraft system is selling these products even after the deal
closes?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
We
will
be providing transition services for up to a year after the
close.
Jonathan
Feeney - Wachovia Securities - Analyst
And
what
does that entail, some selling, with a sales organization -- new
management?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Sales
will certainly be part of that transition sales agreement.
Jonathan
Feeney - Wachovia Securities - Analyst
Okay,
thanks very much, guys. Congratulations again.
Jonathan
Feeney - Wachovia Securities - Analyst
Terry
Bivens, Bear Stearns.
Terry
Bivens - Bear Stearns - Analyst
If
you
don't mind, I'm going to direct mine more at the Kraft contingent there,
Chris.
Good to hear you in your new position there. EBITDA for the business looks
to be
I guess if you backed it out around $3 million. Is that
correct?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Yes,
there about.
Unidentified
Company Representative
It
is
within the range, yes.
Terry
Bivens - Bear Stearns - Analyst
Okay,
what is going to be new tax rate for Kraft post-deal? Is that going to change
much?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Yes.
Terry, as you know, to get into the complexities of the tax rate, that has
been
rather topical for us, particularly looking at 2008, I think it is just too
early to establish a firm number. Some of it will certainly relate to the
timing
of closing of this transaction, but that is what we are sort of working through
right now. So we will be back to you as we get into 2008.
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Terry
Bivens - Bear Stearns - Analyst
Fair
enough. And just one last question on the deal. This 900 -- what was it,
960?
Will the new Ralcorp entity issue debt and then dividend that back to Kraft?
Is
that the way this is set up?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Some
of
it is going to be debt that we place into the entity that will subsequently
merge with Ralcorp. The actual -- the details of the transaction will be
flushed
out in the filing. So you'll get little bit more detail on that, but it is
a
mixed bowl.
Terry
Bivens - Bear Stearns - Analyst
Okay.
Terrific. Thanks very much.
Operator
Eric
Katzman, Deutsche Bank.
Eric
Katzman - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
I
guess I
have questions for both sides. Kind of somewhat related to what was asked
before. Over -- I don't know what it has been -- 15, 20 years of following
consumer products, I don't recall a branded company being able to run
private-label or private-label really being effectively able to run brands.
I
guess has something changed among the retailers that are your current
private-label customers that they are amenable to this? Or that they won't
use
it against you because that's been kind of the history that they will kind
of
play off both sides of the business.
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
This
is
Dave. I can't speak for our customers. One of the key things that we are
going
forward with is having distinct businesses managed by Ralcorp going to the
customers as distinct businesses. So the private-label sales organization
will
stay intact, discussing the private-label sales opportunities. The branded
group
will go to the customers on a basis. How the customers react to that I don't
know. I can't speak for them.
Kevin
Hunt - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
And,
Eric, this is Kevin. The other private-label businesses will continue to
go to
market in the same fashion as well, the cracker business, the snack/nut
business, and also the frozen bakery business. So really what we're setting
up
is a separate platform here for the branded piece.
Eric
Katzman - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
So
we
should kind view Ralcorp as kind of being more of a, I guess in some respects,
a
holding company?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Kevin
Hunt - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
You
know,
if you really look at Ralcorp as it stands today, before this, we are clearly
in
a leadership position in a number of private-label food categories. But we
also
have a frozen division, which is 40% of our business, which is very heavily
involved in food service. It is very heavily involved in the perimeter sections
of the stores, in-store bakeries.
So
we
view this as really kind of three overarching platforms now. The private-label
food businesses, which we have -- we're very proud of our positions there.
The
frozen bakery business, and now this new branded platform and infrastructure
with Post.
Eric
Katzman - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
Thank
you, if I could just follow-up for Chris and Chris on the Kraft side, can
you
just give a little bit more detail -- kind of you put out some numbers I
think
in the press release that if you do a split off versus a spin, one is $0.13
dilutive, one is $0.07 dilutive. How do you arrive at those numbers if you're
not really sure of what the tax rate is on the ongoing company? It seems
like we
should have a little bit more data to help us model to let's say get to the
midpoint of that dilution range of $0.10 once the deal
closes.
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
First
of
all, the difference between a split off and the spin off is that within the
split off, we are effectively bringing down the share count, so that is the
difference. You get straight dilution. In a spin off, it is actually more
of a
reduction in earnings because what you're going to end up with it is the
Ralcorp
-- everybody will end up with the Ralcorp shares. So it is a reduction of
$0.13
but you're actually getting -- you have something else as well. So that is
the
main difference between the $0.13 and $0.07.
Eric
Katzman - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
To
the
extent that you're getting rid of a business that, let's say, has not met
Kraft's growth criteria over time, how does that effect overall Kraft and
either
the divisions growth potential or the probably more importantly the overall
company?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Thank
you
for your question. As I announced the CAGNY in February, the divestiture
-- this
move is really a function of the strategic review of a broad range of businesses
and the focus was on relative market share growth potential and future
profitability. Obviously with this transaction we believe that the focus
within
the remaining portfolio will allow us to deliver on the expectations that
have
been communicated, most recently just a few weeks ago in our third-quarter
conference call.
Eric
Katzman - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
Okay,
I
guess we'll follow-up with Irene and kind of see if there's any changes to
the
consolidated as a result of this, plus Danone. Good luck. Thank
you.
Operator
Andrew
Lazar, Lehman Brothers.
Andrew
Lazar - Lehman Brothers - Analyst
Just
a
couple of things. I just want to make sure I understood one thing in an earlier
question correctly. From a Ralcorp perspective, the accretion numbers on
a pro
forma basis that you've laid out there, as you talked about it being more
of a
growth play rather than synergy, that really -- I am assuming that therefore
does not include potential synergies that may come? Like you mentioned
procurement and things like that. Or does it actually include some of
that?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP &
Treasurer
Andrew,
this is Scott. It does not include any meaningful amount of synergies in
the
accretion number.
Andrew
Lazar - Lehman Brothers - Analyst
Okay.
And
then from a synergy standpoint, just given you mentioned procurement, I guess
there are some things, whether it is your shipping full truckloads -- you'll
manage them as separate businesses and I guess that makes sense to me. Does
that
mean also you would not be able to ship full truckloads as opposed to more
frequently full truckloads with private-label and branded on the same truck
to
the same retailer? Or in other words, will you manage it separately kind
of as
your customer/consumer-facing, but perhaps more jointly in sort of the back
of
the house types of functions?
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Yes,
I
think that the answer to that really is that we get more scale obviously
in
manufacturing, but the manufacturing facilities will be focused on whether
or
not it's branded or store brand. I don't know yet if there is any distribution
opportunities other than the fact we're already shipping full trucks from
the
cereal facilities in our mixing centers anyway, and the sheer size of the
Post
business, they are probably -- and we do not know that yet -- they are probably
shipping full trucks also. So is it possible there could be something there?
There could be. As we get further into the look at this, that is another
possibility.
Andrew
Lazar - Lehman Brothers - Analyst
And
then
as you look from a Ralcorp perspective at sort of what you're getting in
the
transaction from a Post perspective, these are brands that obviously come
with
already very, very hefty and healthy sort of EBITDA margins, no doubt about
it.
Are you building in sort of the flexibility or the likely need to continue
to
reinvest behind these brands to actually get them to a new place? Because
I
think it is safe to say it has not been obviously the most important focus
for
Kraft in the past couple of years. The adult brands have done well. There's
probably some opportunity on some of the others too.
How
much
are you building in? And is the kind of margin that this business now holds,
is
that kind of sustainable or are you assuming and should we assume that it
probably comes down for some period of time around marketing
reinvestment?
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
I
don't
know if I would make any assumption like that. We are buying these businesses
because of their current strength and we believe that they have got obviously
a
great position in the market. We will invest in them to continue to grow
the
business. Our point of view has always been that the brands not only invest
for
the particular brand, but to increase consumption on cereal, which is good
for
the whole category. So we'll continue to look at it on that
basis.
Andrew
Lazar - Lehman Brothers - Analyst
And
two
last quick things. One, from a Kraft perspective, is it fair to say -- and
it
might not be -- that this transaction kind of completes maybe the review
that
you have done over your businesses and represents one of the larger things
that
we're likely to see? Or is it ongoing and it is not fair to say
that?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Well,
I
think as Irene said, if you go back to CAGNY, she said that the strategy
from
the perspective of scale and the fact that we have a large presence in many
categories we think is an advantage. However it is not a safe harbor for
anything. So we really have nothing more to report today. When we have a
transaction to announce, we will let you know, just like
this.
Andrew
Lazar - Lehman Brothers - Analyst
Okay,
and
the very last thing. In terms of the dilution assumptions that you put in
the
release, what kind of assumptions does not make for, I guess, the use of
the
$950 million in debt? Is there some timeframe that Kraft shareholders who
may
get Ralcorp shares need to hold that stock for?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
There
is
no holding period requirement on the Ralcorp stock post distribution and
the
assumption with the debt relief is just that. We're reducing net debt and
that
is going into the dilution calculation.
Andrew
Lazar - Lehman Brothers - Analyst
Got
it.
Thanks very much and congratulations.
Operator
Peter
Fleiss, Highfields Capital.
Operator
He
has
dropped his question out of queue. Heather Jones, BB&T Capital
Markets.
Heather
Jones - BB&T Capital Markets - Analyst
Congratulations.
I guess my first question would be just does this -- is this just a onetime
opportunity that made a lot of sense or is it more -- could we take it as
a
strategic change in direction and could we expect further branded acquisitions
in the future from Ralcorp? Or is it just more of a onetime
opportunity?
Kevin
Hunt - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
It's
Kevin. Let me just -- I think it is certainly more than a onetime opportunity.
We believe that Post is a very strong brand and that the focus that we can
bring
to it is an advantage. We also, as I think we have said -- this is a very
large
platform, but it is another platform that we really have not been able to
take
advantage of because now we will have a branded infrastructure that we can
in
fact put branded acquisitions into. So we very much view this as certainly
not a
onetime opportunity, but really kind of the opposite of that. And it really
in
hands enhances our position and our opportunity to grow.
Heather
Jones - BB&T Capital Markets - Analyst
Okay,
as
far as the Post business relative to your private-label business, do you
have an
estimate of how many of the products or SKUs are sort of -- you know
private-label counterparts to the Post brand? Is there a lot of overlap or
--?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP & Treasurer
I'm
not
sure we want to get into that level of detail. Thanks.
Heather
Jones - BB&T Capital Markets - Analyst
Okay,
and
could you give more -- help me understand what is underlying your accretion
estimates. Just doing back of the envelope, I am coming up with $0.25 to
$0.30,
just using very simple calculations. So I'm wondering if there some revenue
synergies in that assumptions or --?
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP & Treasurer
No,
there's no revenue assumptions. That is historically the way we look at
acquisitions. We never build in revenue synergies, but what might be helpful
is
there is a slide, it is page 6 in the investor presentation and we posted
it on
a web site, that looks at Ralcorp and then the Post Cereals business combined
for an EBITDA number. So -- and if you assume that D&A is going to be
between $140 million and $150 million a year, hopefully that will get you
to the
number.
Heather
Jones - BB&T Capital Markets - Analyst
Okay,
thank you.
Operator
Robert
Moskow, Credit Suisse.
Robert
Moskow - Credit Suisse - Analyst
Congratulations.
David and Scott, you sound very good on earnings calls. I think you should
do
this more often.
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
You
know,
we have never heard that before from you, Rob. I appreciate you bringing
that
up, though.
Robert
Moskow - Credit Suisse - Analyst
I'm
very
stately. I guess, David, when we met a few months ago, one of the concerns
that
you had was about the potential talent drain as a result of making a merger
like
this. And I know it is too soon to know who you might lose of these 1250
people,
but I've got to imagine maybe some of the brand managers who joined Kraft
may
have some concern about working for a private-label company instead of a
branded
company.
What
do
you intend to do to make sure you get really talented brand management in place
at Post and keep that in place? Have you thought that?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Yes,
obviously. I don't know -- it is a concern when any acquisition. We have
been in
acquisitions before whether or not they are private-label or frozen bakery.
One
of the reasons -- I'm here today in New Jersey to talk to the Post folks
that
are coming with the deal to assure them that they will become a key part
of
Ralcorp. We have a long history in keeping key people as we bought other
businesses and so it is like any other risk.
They
really will be a very key part of Ralcorp and probably a much more focused
part,
and the excitement should be is that they are a platform for what we believe
in
the future may be additions to this side of the business, as well as our other
pieces of the business. So you cannot make people stay, but hopefully we will
have a compelling story about a real opportunity for growth across our entire
portfolio, and they can be a part of that.
Robert
Moskow - Credit Suisse - Analyst
Okay,
then secondly, have you done any due diligence or to the extent that you
can
without revealing anything with customers on how Post is doing and what their
perception of Post is and what they think Post needs? Have you done anything
to
that extent? And are they happy with the business or do they think it needs
a
lot of reinvestment?
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP & Treasurer
We
look
at marketshares as well as anything. The business is strong. We know as being
a
competitor how successful Post has been with brands like Honey Bunches of
Oats.
So having been in the cereal business for a greater portion of my career,
these
are brands that are well-respected not only from the customer base but in
the
consumer base. But did we do a survey? That would have been inappropriate
as we
kept the confidentiality of the agreement.
Robert
Moskow - Credit Suisse - Analyst
Okay,
thanks again.
Operator
Vincent
Andrews, Morgan Stanley.
Vincent
Andrews - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Good
morning, everyone. I just have a couple of deal-related questions that hopefully
you can put some color around. The first is if it is a split off, any idea
of
what range of a discount of value you'll offer to Kraft
shareholders?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
As
we
said in the release, ultimately it is going to be market conditions at the
time
of closing that are going to determine not only the spin versus split, but
also
the dynamics of a split if we go that route.
Vincent
Andrews - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Okay,
and
eventually if for some reason there is insufficient interest in going that
route, many split offs are not successful. Do you feel like you will have
sufficient time and flexibility to then do a spin off?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Absolutely.
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Vincent
Andrews - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
And
then
just finally, a Kraft-related question. It would seem that this kind of a
transaction would within the overall business create some diseconomies of
scale.
So I'm just wondering will you have to take any charges or is there any way
you're going out of downside infrastructure? Or how should we think about
that?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
No,
that
is all incorporated into the -- the dilution, yes.
Vincent
Andrews - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Okay,
thank you very much and congratulations, everyone.
Operator
John
Patrick Walsh, Wachovia.
John
Patrick Walsh - Wachovia - Analyst
I
just
wanted to clarify the impact on Kraft on their balance sheet ratings and
credit
metrics. A couple questions related to that. First, just clarifying from
an
accounting standpoint, when Ralcorp does issue their debt, that will be included
on the Kraft balance sheet, correct?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
I'm
sorry, say that again.
John
Patrick Walsh - Wachovia - Analyst
When
Ralcorp issues the debt, will that be -- if they do do that, will that be
consolidated on Kraft's balance sheet?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
No,
what
you're looking at, the New Co., if you will, that will happen sort of
instantaneous, so we are actually going to be contributing some debt to that
entity. So from our perspective, what we talked about in the release is
basically debt relief and that is what you're looking at.
John
Patrick Walsh - Wachovia - Analyst
Okay,
so
actually you're expecting a modest reduction in leverage?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Yes.
John
Patrick Walsh - Wachovia - Analyst
Okay,
thank you very much. That's all I had.
Operator
Ken
Zaslow, BMO Capital Markets.
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
A
question on the sales organization. Is there going to be one sales organization
sell both the cereals, or are those going to be separate as
well?
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
No.
Separate sales organizations.
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
In
terms
of the transition from Kraft to Ralcorp, how do you keep the employees at
Kraft
that now motivated to be selling given that there is always some sort of
disruptions? How does that transition work?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
We
have a
very specific transition services agreement in place, Ken, that we'll be
able to
apply and we will work with Ralcorp to make sure we execute that flawlessly
through the transition period.
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
So
if
there are any sales dips or anything like that, who is held accountable I
guess?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
That's
all handled within the agreement.
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
Will
there be any changes to the capacity on Post? Or is there going to just
literally just be taking one organization and just wrapping it into another?
Will there be any downsizing of capacity?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
No.
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
No,
are
you talking about capacity in the plants?
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
In
the
plants, exactly.
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
No,
the
plants will be as they are as we pull out from the Kraft organization, but
no,
they will in fact be maximized as we go through this.
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
Then
my
last question is for Kraft, and it goes to Andrew's question, was I think
I've
heard Irene say before that we're not looking to spin off or get rid of any
more
than 5% of our sales. It looks like you're about 3% or 4% over the last year
in
terms of divestitures. It goes to the point that it seems like you should
be
nearing the end of the transition, the transformation. Is that not the
interpretation or is that 5% going to be revised up?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Certainly
Irene used a 5% figure as a rough estimate. But the point is that we're not
looking at wholesale portfolio changes. The key to success is to get our
top
line growing faster. So as she has said in the past, we're not looking at
wholesale portfolio changes, but we have nothing else to report
today.
Ken
Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets - Analyst
Thank
you
very much and good luck.
Operator
Pablo
Zuanic, JPMorgan.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
Congratulations
to Ralcorp and Kraft, I guess. Just a question on the Kraft side first. Chris
Jakubik, in terms of a split off for the spin off, what would be the main
variable that would make you go for one or the other? If I am interpreting
this
right, whether the Ralcorp share price goes up or down, it won't make a
difference, right? Because 30 million shares that will be issued is being
calculated based on today's Ralcorp share price. That number of shares could
change, or am I wrong about that?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Whether
the Ralcorp stock price goes up or down, I think is important to our
shareholders, since they have a vested interest in that value. So the goal
between a spin versus a split is just that, to provide the greatest value
for
our shareholders and distribute the shares in the most advantageous way
possible.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
Okay,
so
that's what I wanted to verify. So if you are -- the 30 million shares that
are
being issued will not change. If I'm a Kraft shareholder, I have $0.13 dilution,
but then I am getting about 2% of the value of Ralcorp share. That is the
math
I'm doing right now. But if that share price goes up in the meantime, that
is
going to be accretive to me as a Kraft shareholder, right? Because the 30
million number of shares will not change?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Right.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
All
right, and the second -- I guess from a Ralcorp perspective, going back to
the
dilution questions, what type of interest rate are you assuming? And given
that
you're taking more leverage, isn't your interest rates, your funding costs
going
to go up?
Scott
Monette - Ralcorp - VP & Treasurer
Pablo,
this is Scott. No, I'm not sure we want to get into interest rate assumptions,
but I think that where we're going to end up is we're going to have a very
strong balance sheet basically in line with where our current leverage profile
is. It is not going to compromise our ability, as Kevin and Dave pointed
out, to
make continued acquisitions, fund internal investment, and opportunistic
share
repurchases. So it in no way compromises our flexibility.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
Okay,
then just going back to the synergy questions, I understand you're not factoring
that in. From my perspective, I would [dream] that the EBITDA margins you
are
giving us and I'll explain --. First of all, there's no sale; sales are going
to
be kept separate. There is no plant shutdowns. It seems that the synergies
are
mostly on the procurement side, I assume that maybe the ingredients are
different given that it is different, it is branded and they are only store
brands. So I would question the synergy number.
On
the
other hand, I would see that Kellogg spends about 8% of their sales in
advertising. General Mills I estimate on cereal, 5% to 6%. And on my numbers
Kraft about 2$ to 3%. In a world where the retailers, particularly Wal-Mart,
are
moving to having the (inaudible) brands first-tier, first and second-tier and
value brands, the brands in the middle are being squeezed out. So you guys
buying these that in my view are midtier brands will need to invest quite a
bit
more.
So
when
you're talking about 500 basis points margin benefits, I wonder how much of
that
I can really count. From my perspective, the numbers come down and the synergies
are very little. Can you comment on that Kevin or David?
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Kevin
Hunt - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Number
one is that we don't have any synergies in the number, which is key because
we
will be looking at that in the long term. The other thing is I guess from
our
perspective on the brands is that these brands are very strong with where
they
compete which is in certain segments within the cereal category, so it's
a
little bit different than if you're looking at strawberry jam versus strawberry
jam. So we are very pleased with what Post has done in building these brands,
as
well as the new product introductions that we see coming out.
So
we are
pretty comfortable that this is the right basis and I don't know what concerns
we have now on that. We are -- they are supporting the brands, and we anticipate
that we will support the brands at that level also. I don't know your
percentages and I don't know -- Kraft does not spread out the percentages of
what they are doing on the individual brands, so we are comfortable with the
way
it's being supported.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
But
at
this point, you're not anticipating having to increase marketing support
for
these brands?
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
I
don't
think we're prepared to comment on that.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
Okay,
just a follow-up if I may? What does this transaction say about your views
about
the private-label industry? The question is really has a cost inflation
environment make you change your opinion about private-label?
Kevin
Hunt - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
This
is
Kevin. No it doesn't. There's no question that there is cost inflation out
there. It is affecting all segments of the business, branded and private-label.
We have got to take costs out of the system. We've got to do other mitigating
efforts. There is no question that we have to deal with that on the
private-label side, as well as on the branded side. So it does not -- that
doesn't change. This transaction does not change that and it does not change
our
feelings about our leadership role in the private-label food segments that
we
compete in.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
Thank
you, one last one for Chris Jakubik. Chris, in the event of a spinoff, those
$950 million could or could not be used for share buybacks, right? But the
$0.13
does not factor share buybacks?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Well,
in
either case, a spin or a split, the $950 million in debt relief is going
to
happen either way, so we bring down our debt. Obviously that gives us a little
bit more flexibility on the balance sheet.
Pablo
Zuanic - JPMorgan - Analyst
All
right. Thanks.
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Operator
(OPERATOR
INSTRUCTIONS) Eric Serotta, Merrill Lynch.
Eric
Serotta - Merrill Lynch - Analyst
Most
of
my questions have been answered, but just to further clarify the one question
that Andrew asked about and Pablo just asked about, in the $0.13 of dilution
in
a spin off scenario, does that assume -- I just want to clarify that that
assumes an offset from the $960 million from the interest expense and the
$960
million of debt that is transferred. Is that correct?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Yes,
that
is correct. In both cases the reduction in earnings reflects the fact that
the
debt is coming off. The only -- the main difference is that all shareholders
will actually see sort of a transfer of earnings in the form of receiving
the
Ralcorp shares.
Eric
Serotta - Merrill Lynch - Analyst
Sure.
And
as Pablo was getting at, clearly that dilution number could be less if you
--
particularly be less if you used that money towards share repurchase rather
than
debt reduction. On the (technical difficulty) correctly?
Chris
Baldwin - Kraft Foods - VP, Kraft Group
Yes,
it
could. It effectively reduces our debt outstanding so provides more flexibility
on the balance sheet.
Operator
[Michael
Schwartz], Redwood Partners.
Michael
Schwartz - Redwood Partners - Analyst
Congratulations
about this. When do you think you'll make a decision timing wise about spinning
an offer, doing an exchange offer?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Well,
as
we get closer to closing, that will be a decision right around the time of
closing.
Michael
Schwartz - Redwood Partners - Analyst
When
do
you expect it to close?
Chris
Jakubik - Kraft Foods - VP of IR
Mid-2008.
FINAL
TRANSCRIPT
Nov.
15. 2007 / 8:00AM ET, KFT - Post Cereals to Merge With
Ralcorp
|
Michael
Schwartz - Redwood Partners - Analyst
Mid-2008,
okay. Thanks so much.
Operator
Thank
you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the
floor
over to Mr. Dave Skarie for any further or closing remarks.
Dave
Skarie - Ralcorp - Co-CEO & President
Thank
you
for all your questions. I would just like to reiterate again that this is
the
transforming event for Ralcorp. An opportunity like this one to acquire $1
billion of iconic cereal brands like Post in a strong number three position
in
the category is very rare, and that is why we are all excited about this
and the
potential.
We
welcome the Post team into the Ralcorp family and we see this as a tremendous
opportunity for all of us as we go forward. So we can hardly wait to get back
and get started on some other things. So thank you for your time.
Operator
Thank
you. This does conclude today's Ralcorp and Kraft Foods conference call.
You may
now disconnect.
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