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moslereconomics.com
The Site of Economist Warren Mosler

News

Retail sales, Industrial production, Real estate loans
Fading back to trend: Up a bit but still depressed: Mortgage applications may be up some but not bank lending for real estate: The post Retail sales, Industrial production, Real estate loans appeared... 
Tags Economic Releases
Unemployment claims, rig count, nat gas prices
It’s bad and getting worse: The post Unemployment claims, rig count, nat gas prices appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
JOLTS, Gasoline, Small business index
Longer-term stagnation setting in: The post JOLTS, Gasoline, Small business index appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
ADP, unemployment claims, trade
This is not good: Imports going up with stimulus funds as jobless claims remain high: The post ADP, unemployment claims, trade appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Consumer confidence, construction spending, gasoline
Not adjusted for inflation. Most recently showing an increase: The post Consumer confidence, construction spending, gasoline appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Gasoline, New home sales, Personal income, Personal consumption
still weakening: November new home sales fall more than expected, builder stocks drop Continues to fall back as benefits fade and employment remains weak: Weakening after failing to return to trend as... 
Tags Economic Releases
Jobless claims, housing starts, news headlines
Stubbornly way high and rising some: Very high and coming down only as they expire: Familiar dip and partial recovery pattern: The post Jobless claims, housing starts, news headlines appeared first on... 
Tags Economic Releases
Retail sales, architecture billings
The pace is sort of coming back to trend line: Familiar pattern as weakness continues: The post Retail sales, architecture billings appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Consumer sentiment, Optimism, Industrial production
Still depressed: Tariffs turned this one south before covid did its thing: The post Consumer sentiment, Optimism, Industrial production appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Real estate loans, restaurants, gasoline
Some housing indicators may be looking up but not this one: Other indicators sagging as well as the economy starts to go over the fiscal cliff as benefits expire: The post Real estate loans,... 
Tags Economic Releases
Claims, employment, commercial real estate leading index
New claims still severely elevated: The post Claims, employment, commercial real estate leading index appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Jobless claims, pending home sales, durable goods orders, construction spending
These continue at extraordinarily high levels: Still working its way lower, and never has had much of a recovery since the 2008 collapse. This chart isn’t inflation adjusted, so it’s that much worse... 
Tags Economic Releases
Unemployment claims, Personal income, Transfer payments, Savings, Consumption, Light vehicle sales, Consumer confidence
Still climbing. This is not good: This is bad too: Working it’s way lower as benefits expire and employment growth sags: Savings added by fiscal adjustments are running down: The economy has generated... 
Tags Economic Releases
Euro zone services, gasoline demand, restaurants, hotels
Bad relapse after inadequate fiscal adjustments: The post Euro zone services, gasoline demand, restaurants, hotels appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Jobless claims, Existing home sales, Euro construction
Still extremely high and now going higher: The large dip in sales was followed by a recovery, so the total sales over that time are about on track: Back into contraction: The post Jobless claims,... 
Tags Economic Releases
Architecture billings, Housing starts, Real estate loans
Still in contraction: One unit starts are up but not enough to make up for the dip yet: And housing remains historically depressed, and more so when factoring in population growth: And lending growth... 
Tags Economic Releases
Retail sales, Industrial production
The lost sales are water under the bridge as current sales growth has declined and leveled off as federal support for lost personal income fades: Same pattern here- big dip, but only a partial recovery... 
Tags Economic Releases
Consumer sentiment, restaurants, Oil consumption, Covid
An already weak economy seems to be turning south: Deaths lag new cases by several weeks= they are going a lot higher: The post Consumer sentiment, restaurants, Oil consumption, Covid appeared first on... 
Tags Economic Releases
Unemployment claims, Mtg purchase apps
Still over 700,000 new claims this long after the collapse: Still hasn’t recovered from the 2008 collapse: The post Unemployment claims, Mtg purchase apps appeared first on The Center of the Universe... 
Tags Economic Releases
Employment, ADP, vehicle sales
Still down over 10 million jobs vs pre covid: The Cares Act expenditures are winding down… Private payroll recovery leveling off: Same pattern. Collapse, partial recovery, then sideways to down: The... 
Tags Economic Releases
Personal income and consumption
Personal income, which includes gov transfer payments, is coming down in steps after spiking for the fiscal adjustments, and still remains a bit higher than it would have been as transfer payments wind... 
Tags Emerging Markets
GDP, jobless claims, pending home sales
Partial recovery but recent data shows growth stalling while a large gap (unemployment) persists as tariffs, covid, and no additional fiscal support continue: The gap initially closed relatively... 
Tags Economic Releases
Durable goods, Covid, Gasoline supplied
Still trending lower: More testing AND the % positive is up as new cases and deaths, which lag new cases, increase: Weakening: The post Durable goods, Covid, Gasoline supplied appeared first on The... 
Tags Economic Releases
New home sales, Chicago Fed survey, Lumber prices, US survey
Trump looks to be losing by a substantial margin at the moment, which means to me that there won’t be a fiscal adjustment before January’s new Congress, and without a sufficient majority in the Senate... 
Tags Economic Releases
Mtg purchase apps, Housing starts, Small business jobs
Becoming clear housing isn’t doing all that well: The post Mtg purchase apps, Housing starts, Small business jobs appeared first on The Center of the Universe . 
Tags Economic Releases
Vehicle sales, Retail sales, Industrial production
Monthly sales rates peaked in 2016 when oil capex collapsed, then leveled off, then started sliding again with the tariffs, then collapsed with the covid shock, and have nearly recovered to the lower... 
Tags Economic Releases
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