
Carvana’s third quarter was marked by substantial top-line growth, as the company surpassed Wall Street’s revenue expectations and saw a strong positive market reaction. Management credited the performance to improvements in operational scale, a record number of retail units sold, and enhancements in customer experience such as faster delivery times and easier transactions. CEO Ernest Garcia highlighted the company’s ability to grow its unit run rate and revenue more than twofold over the past two years, noting, “Our run rate is now 870,000, double what it was just two years ago.” Despite these achievements, management also pointed to external headwinds, including rising interest rates and fuel costs, as factors impacting profitability metrics.
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Carvana (CVNA) Q3 2026 highlights:
- Revenue $8.04 billion vs S&P analysts’ estimates of $7.67 billion (42.4% year-on-year growth, 4.9% beat)
- Adjusted EPS $0.39 vs S&P analysts’ expectations of $0.48 (18.3% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA $800 million vs analyst estimates of $791.3 million (10% margin, 1.1% beat)
- EBITDA guidance $2.85 billion at the midpoint for the full year, below analyst estimates of $2.93 billion
- Operating margin 8.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Retail units sold 217,385
- Market capitalization $49.37 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management’s commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls is the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our top 5 analyst questions from Carvana’s Q3 earnings call
- Marvin Fong (BTIG): asked about Carvana’s approach to passing benchmark interest rate increases to customers. CFO Mark Jenkins explained they balance customer value with profitability, sometimes delaying full rate pass-throughs to preserve competitiveness.
- Daniela Haigian (Morgan Stanley): inquired about opportunities for SG&A leverage. Jenkins highlighted potential in overhead and long-term declines in advertising and logistics costs driven by technology and scale.
- Bradley Erickson (RBC Capital Markets): questioned the stability of gain-on-sale margins and the significance of upsizing asset-backed securitization (ABS) deals. CEO Ernest Garcia emphasized the consistency of gains due to platform efficiency and value returned to customers.
- Sharon Zackfia (William Blair): asked about the impact of new facility launches and ADESA conversions on operational costs and training. Jenkins noted higher initial costs but improvements from AI-enabled management tools and better staff development.
- Michael McGovern (Bank of America): raised concerns about AI agents increasing financing competition. Garcia responded that Carvana’s vertically integrated model offers unique advantages in maintaining competitive financing and adapting to changing market dynamics.
Catalysts in upcoming quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will be watching (1) Carvana’s progress in scaling reconditioning and inventory to meet demand, (2) the impact of AI-driven process improvements on SG&A leverage and operational margins, and (3) early results from platform expansion, including partnerships and new market entries. The effects of new regulatory requirements and the company’s ability to manage fuel and interest rate volatility will also be key areas of focus.
Carvana currently trades at $69.07, up from $59.25 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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